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The 2026 CFO Outlook: A shift from aggressive growth to selective strategy

Published on July 22, 2026 | 5 min read
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Uncertain times call for selective growth.

For the second year in a row, Webster Bank worked with Crisil Coalition Greenwich to survey 200 senior financial decision-makers at U.S. businesses with annual revenue between $10M and $500M. Last year, CFOs projected optimism and confidence. This year, the outlook is more measured. Growth remains a priority, but financial leaders are pursuing it more selectively — balancing opportunity with economic uncertainty, capital constraints, cybersecurity concerns and the rapid adoption of AI.

Five highlights from the results:

  1. Strategic growth remains a priority — but companies are becoming more selective. 62% of executives are selectively pursuing growth opportunities, while only 26% are aggressively pursuing growth.
  2. Banking partners continue to play an essential role. 62% of executives say a banking or non-banking partner is very important in providing guidance and support on strategic growth initiatives.
  3. Trustworthiness is driving banking relationship decisions. Trustworthiness is now the most cited factor in determining which banking providers will earn a greater share of business.
  4. Capital access and investment timing are under pressure. More executives cite limited access to capital and delayed investments or expansion compared to 2025.
  5. AI adoption is moving quickly into implementation. 92% of companies are piloting or fully integrating AI-driven tools, with larger companies leading the way.

Of note: Selective growth

62% of executives are selectively pursuing growth opportunities

Overall there’s been a shift from aggressive growth to selective growth. In the current economic environment, only one in four firms will continue to aggressively pursue growth opportunities, while others will do so more selectively than in years prior. Midsized companies are showing most significant selectivity at 73%, as compared to 18% in 2025.

Totals: Companies of all sizes

The outlook on strategy.

In 2026, CFOs are still focused on growth — but the posture has changed. Strategy now means being more selective, more disciplined and more alert to risk

Selective growth replaces aggressive growth. Strategic growth remains the top priority, but surveyed executives are approaching opportunity with more discipline. While 36% rank growth initiatives as most important, 62% say they are pursuing opportunities selectively.

Uncertainty is shaping the agenda. Economic uncertainty, cybersecurity and AI adoption top the list of concerns for 2026. Financial leaders are balancing growth with risk, as inflation, interest rates, fraud threats and technology disruption continue to complicate planning

Margin pressure is forcing sharper choices. With cost management, including supply chain, ranking as the top pressure point, executives are focused on protecting performance while preserving room for strategic investment.

 
Customer behavior has become harder to forecast. Four out of five financial leaders are concerned about shifts in customer behavior affecting revenue stability. Increased price sensitivity, delayed purchases and declining loyalty are making revenue harder to predict — and strategy harder to set.

The outlook on trust.

As CFOs navigate uncertainty, the value of a partner is increasingly measured not just by capabilities, but by trust.

30% of executives cite trustworthiness as the top wallet-share factor. Trustworthiness is now the most cited factor in determining which banking providers earn a greater share of business. 30% of financial leaders cite trustworthiness, putting it ahead of credit policy, ease of doing business and relationship managers.

Adisory services continue to lead. When considering strategic growth initiatives, executives rank strategic growth advisory services as the most valuable support. Nearly half cite advisory services — including debt structuring and acquisition financing — followed by valuation and exit/succession planning expertise.

A majority of executives say partners are very important to strategy. As companies pursue growth more selectively, partners still play a central role. 62% of executives say a banking or non-banking partner who provides guidance and support on strategic growth initiatives is very important.

Of note: Trusted guidance comes from a broader circle.

In times of uncertainty, leaders are turning to a range of trusted advisors, showing that executives value both financial expertise and outside perspective.


 

Moving forward with discipline.

A key takeaway from our survey: Business leaders are still pursuing growth — but with sharper focus, stronger risk awareness and a greater need for trusted guidance. Below are five recommendations based on the results:

  1. Pursue growth selectively. Opportunity still matters, but the approach has changed. With CFOs selectively pursuing growth opportunities, the priority is not simply moving faster — it’s moving smarter. Focus on investments that fit your strategy, strengthen your position and can withstand volatility.
  2. Strengthen access to capital. Compared to 2025, more leaders cite limited access to capital and delayed investments. In this environment, liquidity planning, credit flexibility and debt strategy should be treated as growth tools — not just defensive measures. The right structure can help keep options open.
  3. Stay close to the customer. CFOs are concerned about shifts in customer behavior impacting revenue stability. As pricing pressure, loyalty shifts and delayed purchases complicate forecasting, businesses should keep a closer pulse on demand, payment patterns and margin risk.
  4. Put AI to practical use. A significant majority of companies have already fully or partially integrated AI-driven tools into their operations. The next step is making those tools useful — improving forecasting, strengthening controls, reducing friction and helping teams make better decisions.
  5. Choose partners you trust. As uncertainty continues, businesses need partners who can provide not just products, but perspective, responsiveness and confidence when decisions get more complex.

Want to learn more? Contact us.

The opinions and views herein are for informational purposes only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations. Please consult professional advisors with regard to your situation.