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Tariffs and market volatility likely to stick
Tariffs delayed, not done – market implications
LPL Research’s Outlook 2025: Pragmatic Optimism delivers market insights on what we can expect from the economy, stocks, bonds, and more.
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LPL Street View
Marc Zabicki, Chief Investment Officer at LPL Financial, discusses two potential market scenarios following a 15% or more decline: a V-shaped recovery, which typically happens after a market shock like tariffs, and a more prolonged weakening where markets recover but then decline again due to fundamental economic changes. The current market is more likely to follow the second scenario, urging investors to remain vigilant and consider a cautious approach like dollar cost averaging.
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Looking back, 2024 clearly echoed many of the themes from 2023. By and large, the economy continued to defy expectations and surprised once again. Stocks continued their strong performance, driven by powerful trends in artificial intelligence and technology. On the other hand, the bond market experienced another lackluster year amid policy ambiguity and uneasiness over rising debt levels.
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